AGDI currently has about 300 publications.
2014 |
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721. | Asongu, Simplice A African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, 5 (2), pp. 160 - 194, 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Africa, Banking, Convergence, Policy coordination @article{Asongu_687, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/AJEMS-06-2012-0037}, doi = {10.1108/AJEMS-06-2012-0037}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-06}, journal = {African Journal of Economic and Management Studies}, volume = {5}, number = {2}, pages = {160 - 194}, abstract = {Purpose – Assessment of African financial development dynamic convergences in money, credit, efficiency and size. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach – The empirical evidence is premised on 11 homogenous panels based on regions (Sub-Saharan and North Africa), income-levels (low, middle, lower-middle and upper-middle), legal-origins (English common-law and French civil-law) and religious dominations (Christianity and Islam). The paper examines convergence in financial intermediary dynamics of depth, efficiency, activity and size. Findings – Findings suggest that countries with small-sized financial intermediary depth, efficiency, activity and size are catching-up countries with large-sized financial intermediary depth, efficiency, activity and size, respectively. The paper also provide the speeds of convergence and time necessary to achieve a full (100 percent) convergence. Practical implications – The presence of strong links among African banking sectors may present little opportunity for portfolio diversification. The convergence patterns show positive steps toward regional integration. As a policy implication, African governments should not relent in structural and institutional reforms. Originality/value – It is the first critical assessment of convergence in financial intermediary development dynamics in the African continent.}, keywords = {Africa, Banking, Convergence, Policy coordination}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } Purpose – Assessment of African financial development dynamic convergences in money, credit, efficiency and size. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach – The empirical evidence is premised on 11 homogenous panels based on regions (Sub-Saharan and North Africa), income-levels (low, middle, lower-middle and upper-middle), legal-origins (English common-law and French civil-law) and religious dominations (Christianity and Islam). The paper examines convergence in financial intermediary dynamics of depth, efficiency, activity and size. Findings – Findings suggest that countries with small-sized financial intermediary depth, efficiency, activity and size are catching-up countries with large-sized financial intermediary depth, efficiency, activity and size, respectively. The paper also provide the speeds of convergence and time necessary to achieve a full (100 percent) convergence. Practical implications – The presence of strong links among African banking sectors may present little opportunity for portfolio diversification. The convergence patterns show positive steps toward regional integration. As a policy implication, African governments should not relent in structural and institutional reforms. Originality/value – It is the first critical assessment of convergence in financial intermediary development dynamics in the African continent. |
722. | Asongu, Simplice A Journal Article The African Finance Journal, 16 (2), pp. 34-63, 2014. Abstract | BibTeX | Tags: Monetary Policy; Banking; Inflation; Output effects; Africa @article{Asongu_688, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-06}, journal = {The African Finance Journal}, volume = {16}, number = {2}, pages = {34-63}, abstract = {We analyze the effects of monetary policy on economic activity in the proposed African monetary unions. Findings broadly show that: (1) but for financial efficiency in the EAMZ, monetary policy variables affect output neither in the short-run nor in the long-term and; (2) with the exception of financial size that impacts inflation in the EAMZ in the short-term, monetary policy variables generally have no effect on prices in the short-run. The WAMZ may not use policy instruments to offset adverse shocks to output by pursuing either an expansionary or a contractionary policy, while the EAMZ can do with the ‘financial allocation efficiency’ instrument. Policy implications are discussed.}, keywords = {Monetary Policy; Banking; Inflation; Output effects; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } We analyze the effects of monetary policy on economic activity in the proposed African monetary unions. Findings broadly show that: (1) but for financial efficiency in the EAMZ, monetary policy variables affect output neither in the short-run nor in the long-term and; (2) with the exception of financial size that impacts inflation in the EAMZ in the short-term, monetary policy variables generally have no effect on prices in the short-run. The WAMZ may not use policy instruments to offset adverse shocks to output by pursuing either an expansionary or a contractionary policy, while the EAMZ can do with the ‘financial allocation efficiency’ instrument. Policy implications are discussed. |
723. | Amavilah, Simplice Asongu & Antonio Andrés Voxi A R Globalization, Peace & Stability, Governance, and Knowledge Economy 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Globalisation; Peace and Stability; Governance; Knowledge Economy @workingpaper{Amavilah2014, title = {Globalization, Peace & Stability, Governance, and Knowledge Economy}, author = {Simplice Asongu & Antonio Andrés A R Voxi Amavilah}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/14/012}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Globalisation-peace-and-stability-governance-and-knowledge-economy.pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-01}, abstract = {A previous analysis of the impact of formal institutions on the knowledge economy of 22 MiddleEastern and Sub-Sahara African countries during the 1996-2010 time period concluded that formal institutions were necessary, but inadequate, determinants of the knowledge economy. To extend that study, this paper claims that globalization induces peace and stability, which affects governance and through governance the knowledge economy. The claim addresses one weakness of previous research that did not consider the effects on the knowledge economy of globalization. We model the proposition as a three-stage process in four hypotheses, and estimate each hypothesis using robust estimators that are capable of dealing with the usual statistical problems without sacrificing economic relevance and significance. The results indicate that globalization has varying effects on peace and stability, and peace and stability affect governance differently depending on what kind of globalization induces it. For instance, the effects on governance induced by globalization defined as trade are stronger than those resulting from globalization taken to be foreign direct investment. Hence, we conclude that foreign direct investment is not a powerful mechanism for stimulating and sustaining the knowledge economy in our sample of countries. However, since globalization-induced peace and stability have both positive and negative effects on governance simultaneously, we also conclude that while the prospect for knowledge economy in African countries is dim, it is still realistic and attainable as long as these countries continue to engage in the kind of globalization that does indeed induce peace and stability. We further conclude that there is a need for a sharper focus on economic and institutional governance than on general governance as one possible extension of this paper.}, keywords = {Globalisation; Peace and Stability; Governance; Knowledge Economy}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } A previous analysis of the impact of formal institutions on the knowledge economy of 22 MiddleEastern and Sub-Sahara African countries during the 1996-2010 time period concluded that formal institutions were necessary, but inadequate, determinants of the knowledge economy. To extend that study, this paper claims that globalization induces peace and stability, which affects governance and through governance the knowledge economy. The claim addresses one weakness of previous research that did not consider the effects on the knowledge economy of globalization. We model the proposition as a three-stage process in four hypotheses, and estimate each hypothesis using robust estimators that are capable of dealing with the usual statistical problems without sacrificing economic relevance and significance. The results indicate that globalization has varying effects on peace and stability, and peace and stability affect governance differently depending on what kind of globalization induces it. For instance, the effects on governance induced by globalization defined as trade are stronger than those resulting from globalization taken to be foreign direct investment. Hence, we conclude that foreign direct investment is not a powerful mechanism for stimulating and sustaining the knowledge economy in our sample of countries. However, since globalization-induced peace and stability have both positive and negative effects on governance simultaneously, we also conclude that while the prospect for knowledge economy in African countries is dim, it is still realistic and attainable as long as these countries continue to engage in the kind of globalization that does indeed induce peace and stability. We further conclude that there is a need for a sharper focus on economic and institutional governance than on general governance as one possible extension of this paper. |
724. | Asongu, Simplice A A Development Consensus reconciling the Beijing Model and Washington Consensus: Views and Agenda 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Economic thought; Development; Beijing model; Washington Consensus; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2014bk, title = {A Development Consensus reconciling the Beijing Model and Washington Consensus: Views and Agenda}, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/14/013}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/A-development-consensus-reconciling-the-Beijing-model-and-Washington-consensus.-Views-and-agenda.pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-01}, abstract = {Reconciling the two dominant development models of the Washington Consensus (WC) and Beijing Model (BM) remains a critical challenge in the literature. The challenge is even more demanding when emerging development paradigms like the Liberal Institutional Pluralism (LIP) and New Structural Economics (NSE) schools have to be integrated. While the latter has recognized both State and market failures but failed to provide a unified theory, the former has left the challenging concern of how institutional diversity matter in the development process. We synthesize perspectives from over 150 recently published papers on development and Sino-African relations in order to present the relevance of both the WC and BM in the long-term and short-run respectively. While the paper provides a unified theory by reconciling the WC and the BM to complement the NSE, it at the same time presents a case for economic rights and political rights as short-run and long-run development priorities respectively. By reconciling the WC with the BM, the study contributes at the same to macroeconomic NSE literature of unifying a development theory and to the LIP literature on institutional preferences with stages of development. Hence, the proposed reconciliation takes into account the structural and institutional realities of nations at difference stages of the process of development.}, keywords = {Economic thought; Development; Beijing model; Washington Consensus; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } Reconciling the two dominant development models of the Washington Consensus (WC) and Beijing Model (BM) remains a critical challenge in the literature. The challenge is even more demanding when emerging development paradigms like the Liberal Institutional Pluralism (LIP) and New Structural Economics (NSE) schools have to be integrated. While the latter has recognized both State and market failures but failed to provide a unified theory, the former has left the challenging concern of how institutional diversity matter in the development process. We synthesize perspectives from over 150 recently published papers on development and Sino-African relations in order to present the relevance of both the WC and BM in the long-term and short-run respectively. While the paper provides a unified theory by reconciling the WC and the BM to complement the NSE, it at the same time presents a case for economic rights and political rights as short-run and long-run development priorities respectively. By reconciling the WC with the BM, the study contributes at the same to macroeconomic NSE literature of unifying a development theory and to the LIP literature on institutional preferences with stages of development. Hence, the proposed reconciliation takes into account the structural and institutional realities of nations at difference stages of the process of development. |
725. | Asongu, Simplice A 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Knowledge economy; Catch-up; South Korea; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2014bl, title = {Knowledge Economy Gaps, Policy Syndromes and Catch-up Strategies: Fresh South Korean Lessons to Africa}, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/14/04}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Knowledge-economy-gaps-policy-syndromes-and-catch-up-strategies-fresh-South-Korean-Lessons-to-Africa.pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-01}, abstract = {Africa’s overall knowledge index fell between 2000 and 2009. South Korea’s economic miracle is largely due to a knowledge-based development strategy that holds valuable lessons for African countries in their current pursuit towards knowledge economies. Using updated data (1996-2010), this paper presents fresh South Korean lessons to Africa by assessing the knowledge economy (KE) gaps, deriving policy syndromes and providing catch-up strategies. The 53 African frontier countries are decomposed into fundamental characteristics of wealth, legal origins, regional proximity, oil-exporting, political stability and landlockedness. The World Bank’s four KE components are used: education, innovation, information & communication technology (ICT) and economic incentives & institutional regime. Absolute beta and sigma convergence techniques are employed as empirical strategies. With the exception of ICT for which catch-up is not very apparent, in increasing order it is visible in: innovation, economic incentives, education and institutional regime. The speed of catch-up varies between 8.66% and 30.00% per annum with respective time to full or 100% catch-up of 34.64 years and 10 years. Based on the trends and dynamics in the KE gaps, policy syndromes and compelling catch-up strategies are discussed. Issues standing on the way to KE in Africa are dissected with great acuteness before South Korean relevant solutions are provided. The paper is original in its provision of practical policy initiatives drawn from the Korean experience to African countries embarking on a transition to KE.}, keywords = {Knowledge economy; Catch-up; South Korea; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } Africa’s overall knowledge index fell between 2000 and 2009. South Korea’s economic miracle is largely due to a knowledge-based development strategy that holds valuable lessons for African countries in their current pursuit towards knowledge economies. Using updated data (1996-2010), this paper presents fresh South Korean lessons to Africa by assessing the knowledge economy (KE) gaps, deriving policy syndromes and providing catch-up strategies. The 53 African frontier countries are decomposed into fundamental characteristics of wealth, legal origins, regional proximity, oil-exporting, political stability and landlockedness. The World Bank’s four KE components are used: education, innovation, information & communication technology (ICT) and economic incentives & institutional regime. Absolute beta and sigma convergence techniques are employed as empirical strategies. With the exception of ICT for which catch-up is not very apparent, in increasing order it is visible in: innovation, economic incentives, education and institutional regime. The speed of catch-up varies between 8.66% and 30.00% per annum with respective time to full or 100% catch-up of 34.64 years and 10 years. Based on the trends and dynamics in the KE gaps, policy syndromes and compelling catch-up strategies are discussed. Issues standing on the way to KE in Africa are dissected with great acuteness before South Korean relevant solutions are provided. The paper is original in its provision of practical policy initiatives drawn from the Korean experience to African countries embarking on a transition to KE. |
726. | Asongu, Simplice A Software piracy and scientific publications: knowledge economy evidence from Africa 2014. Abstract | BibTeX | Tags: Publications; Piracy; Intellectual property rights; Governance; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2014bm, title = {Software piracy and scientific publications: knowledge economy evidence from Africa}, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/18/14}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-01}, abstract = {This paper is an extension of the debate on the nexus between the strength of IPRs and prospects for knowledge economy. It assesses the relationships between software piracy and scientific publications in African countries for which data is available. The findings which reveal a positive nexus are broadly consistent with the school of thought postulating that, the East Asian miracle has been largely due to weaker IPRs regimes at the early stages of development. As a policy implication, less stringent IPRs regimes on scientific-related software (at least in the short-run) will substantially boost contributions to and dissemination of knowledge through scientific and technical publications in Africa. IPRs laws (treaties) on scientific-oriented software should be strengthened in tandem with progress in: scientific and technical publications and; knowledge spillovers essential for economic growth and development. More policy implications are discussed.}, keywords = {Publications; Piracy; Intellectual property rights; Governance; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } This paper is an extension of the debate on the nexus between the strength of IPRs and prospects for knowledge economy. It assesses the relationships between software piracy and scientific publications in African countries for which data is available. The findings which reveal a positive nexus are broadly consistent with the school of thought postulating that, the East Asian miracle has been largely due to weaker IPRs regimes at the early stages of development. As a policy implication, less stringent IPRs regimes on scientific-related software (at least in the short-run) will substantially boost contributions to and dissemination of knowledge through scientific and technical publications in Africa. IPRs laws (treaties) on scientific-oriented software should be strengthened in tandem with progress in: scientific and technical publications and; knowledge spillovers essential for economic growth and development. More policy implications are discussed. |
727. | Asongu, Simplice A The questionable economics of development assistance in Africa: hot-fresh evidence, 1996-2010 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2014bn, title = {The questionable economics of development assistance in Africa: hot-fresh evidence, 1996-2010}, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/20/14}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/The-questionable-economics-of-development-assistance-in-Africa,hot-fresh-evidence,1996-2010.pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-01}, abstract = {This paper assesses the aid-development nexus in 52 African countries using updated data (1996-2010) and a new indicator of human development (adjusted for inequality). The effects of Total Net Official Development Assistance (NODA), NODA from the Development Assistance Committee (DAC) and NODA from Multilateral donors on economic prosperity (at national and per capita levels) are also examined. The findings broadly indicate that development assistance is detrimental to GDP growth, GDP per capita growth and inequality adjusted human development. The magnitude of negativity (which is consistent across specifications and development dynamics) is highest for NODA from Multilateral donors, followed by NODA from DAC countries. Given concerns on the achievement of the MDGs, the relevance of these results point to the deficiency of foreign aid as a sustainable cure to poverty in Africa. Though the stated intents or purposes of aid are socio-economic, the actual impact from the findings negates this. It is a momentous epoque to solve the second tragedy of foreign aid; it is high time economists and policy makers start rethinking the models and theories on which foreign aid is based. In the meantime, it is up to people who care about the poor to hold aid agencies accountable for piecemeal results. Policy implications and caveats are discussed.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } This paper assesses the aid-development nexus in 52 African countries using updated data (1996-2010) and a new indicator of human development (adjusted for inequality). The effects of Total Net Official Development Assistance (NODA), NODA from the Development Assistance Committee (DAC) and NODA from Multilateral donors on economic prosperity (at national and per capita levels) are also examined. The findings broadly indicate that development assistance is detrimental to GDP growth, GDP per capita growth and inequality adjusted human development. The magnitude of negativity (which is consistent across specifications and development dynamics) is highest for NODA from Multilateral donors, followed by NODA from DAC countries. Given concerns on the achievement of the MDGs, the relevance of these results point to the deficiency of foreign aid as a sustainable cure to poverty in Africa. Though the stated intents or purposes of aid are socio-economic, the actual impact from the findings negates this. It is a momentous epoque to solve the second tragedy of foreign aid; it is high time economists and policy makers start rethinking the models and theories on which foreign aid is based. In the meantime, it is up to people who care about the poor to hold aid agencies accountable for piecemeal results. Policy implications and caveats are discussed. |
728. | Asongu, Simplice A Taxation, foreign aid and political governance: figures to the facts of a celebrated literature 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2014bo, title = {Taxation, foreign aid and political governance: figures to the facts of a celebrated literature}, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/22/14}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Taxation-foreign-aid-and-political-governance,.Figures-to-the-facts-of-a-celebrated-literature.pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-01}, abstract = {This paper puts figures to the facts of Eubank (2012), a recently celebrated paper in the Journal of Development Studies. We investigate the underpinning Somaliland-based hypothesis that foreign aid dilutes the positive role of taxation on political governance. The assessment is based on 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. For more policy options, the dataset is disaggregated into fundamental characteristics of African development based on income-levels, legal origins, natural resources and landlockeness. While the Eubank hypothesis is invalid in baseline Africa, low-income and English common law countries of the continent, we cannot conclude on its validity for other fundamental characteristics of development. Policy implications, caveats and future directions are discussed.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } This paper puts figures to the facts of Eubank (2012), a recently celebrated paper in the Journal of Development Studies. We investigate the underpinning Somaliland-based hypothesis that foreign aid dilutes the positive role of taxation on political governance. The assessment is based on 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. For more policy options, the dataset is disaggregated into fundamental characteristics of African development based on income-levels, legal origins, natural resources and landlockeness. While the Eubank hypothesis is invalid in baseline Africa, low-income and English common law countries of the continent, we cannot conclude on its validity for other fundamental characteristics of development. Policy implications, caveats and future directions are discussed. |
729. | Ssozi, Simplice Asongu John A 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: output per worker, remittances, Sub-Saharan Africa, Total Factor Productivity @workingpaper{Ssozi2014, title = {The Effects of Remittances on Output per Worker in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Production Function Approach}, author = {Simplice Asongu A John Ssozi}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/27/14}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/The-Effects-of-Remittances-on-Output-per-Worker-in-Sub-Saharan-Africa(1).pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-01}, abstract = {This paper uses a production function to examine the channels through which remittances affect output per worker in 31 Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries from 1980-2010. We find that remittances directly increase output per worker if complemented with education. The indirect effects vary with the economic characteristics of the recipient nations: while remittances have increased human capital among the low-income nations, among the upper-middle-income nations, they have mostly increased total factor productivity, but are still inversely related to factor inputs among the lower-middle-income nations of SSA. Finally, remittances are more effective when institutional risk is reducing.}, keywords = {output per worker, remittances, Sub-Saharan Africa, Total Factor Productivity}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } This paper uses a production function to examine the channels through which remittances affect output per worker in 31 Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries from 1980-2010. We find that remittances directly increase output per worker if complemented with education. The indirect effects vary with the economic characteristics of the recipient nations: while remittances have increased human capital among the low-income nations, among the upper-middle-income nations, they have mostly increased total factor productivity, but are still inversely related to factor inputs among the lower-middle-income nations of SSA. Finally, remittances are more effective when institutional risk is reducing. |
730. | Asongu, Jacinta Nwachukwu Simplice C A The Role of Lifelong Learning in Political Stability and Non-violence: Evidence from Africa 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Lifelong learning; Stability; Development; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2014bp, title = {The Role of Lifelong Learning in Political Stability and Non-violence: Evidence from Africa}, author = {Jacinta Nwachukwu C Simplice A. Asongu}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/29/14}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/The-Role-of-Lifelong-Learning-in-Political-Stability-and-Non-violence.pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-08-01}, abstract = {Purpose – Education as a weapon in the fight against conflict and violence remains widely debated in policy and academic circles. Against the background of growing political instability in Africa and the central role of the knowledge economy in 21st century development, this paper provides three contributions to existing literature. It assesses how political stability/ non-violence is linked to the incremental, synergy and lifelong learning effects of education. Design/methodology/approach – We define lifelong learning as the combined knowledge acquired during primary, secondary and tertiary education. Principal component analysis is used to reduce the dimensions of educational and political indicators. An endogeneity robust dynamic system Generalized Methods of Moments is used for the estimations. Findings – We establish three main findings. First, education is a useful weapon in the fight against political instability. Second, there is an incremental effect of education in the transition from secondary to tertiary schools. Third, lifelong learning also has positive and synergy effects. This means that the impact of lifelong learning is higher than the combined independent effects of various educational levels. The empirical evidence is based on 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. Practical implications – A plethora of policy implications are discussed, inter alia: how the drive towards increasing the knowledge economy through lifelong learning can be an effective tool in the fight against violence and political insurgency in Africa. Originality/value – As the continent is nursing knowledge economy ambitions, the paper is original in investigating the determinants of political stability/non violence from three dimensions of education attainment: the incremental, the lifelong learning and a synergy effect.}, keywords = {Lifelong learning; Stability; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } Purpose – Education as a weapon in the fight against conflict and violence remains widely debated in policy and academic circles. Against the background of growing political instability in Africa and the central role of the knowledge economy in 21st century development, this paper provides three contributions to existing literature. It assesses how political stability/ non-violence is linked to the incremental, synergy and lifelong learning effects of education. Design/methodology/approach – We define lifelong learning as the combined knowledge acquired during primary, secondary and tertiary education. Principal component analysis is used to reduce the dimensions of educational and political indicators. An endogeneity robust dynamic system Generalized Methods of Moments is used for the estimations. Findings – We establish three main findings. First, education is a useful weapon in the fight against political instability. Second, there is an incremental effect of education in the transition from secondary to tertiary schools. Third, lifelong learning also has positive and synergy effects. This means that the impact of lifelong learning is higher than the combined independent effects of various educational levels. The empirical evidence is based on 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. Practical implications – A plethora of policy implications are discussed, inter alia: how the drive towards increasing the knowledge economy through lifelong learning can be an effective tool in the fight against violence and political insurgency in Africa. Originality/value – As the continent is nursing knowledge economy ambitions, the paper is original in investigating the determinants of political stability/non violence from three dimensions of education attainment: the incremental, the lifelong learning and a synergy effect. |