PUBLICATIONS
The AGDI has published substantially in fulfillment of its mission statement of contributing to knowledge towards African development:
IDEAS
http://ideas.repec.org/d/agdiycm.html
ECONSTOR
https://www.econstor.eu/dspace/escollectionhome/10419/123513
Publication List
2019 |
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1. | Asongu, Nicholas Odhiambo Simplice M A 2019. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @unpublished{Asongu_238, author = {Nicholas Odhiambo M Simplice A. Asongu}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Taxation-foreign-aid-and-political-governance-in-Africa.pdf}, year = {2019}, date = {2019-04-24}, abstract = {This study examines the hypothesis that foreign aid dilutes the positive role of taxation on political governance. The empirical evidence is based on the Generalised Method of Moments and 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. For more policy options, the dataset is disaggregated into fundamental characteristics of African development based on income levels, legal origins, natural resources and landlockedness. While the hypothesis is invalid in baseline Africa, low income and English common law countries of the continent, the research cannot conclude on its validity for other fundamental characteristics of development. Policy implications, caveats and directions for future research are discussed.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {unpublished} } This study examines the hypothesis that foreign aid dilutes the positive role of taxation on political governance. The empirical evidence is based on the Generalised Method of Moments and 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. For more policy options, the dataset is disaggregated into fundamental characteristics of African development based on income levels, legal origins, natural resources and landlockedness. While the hypothesis is invalid in baseline Africa, low income and English common law countries of the continent, the research cannot conclude on its validity for other fundamental characteristics of development. Policy implications, caveats and directions for future research are discussed. |
2016 |
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2. | Jellal, Simplice Asongu; Mohamed Comparative Economic Studies, 58 (June 2016), pp. 279-314, 2016. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @article{Asongu_567, author = {Simplice Asongu; Mohamed Jellal}, url = {http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ces/journal/v58/n2/full/ces20167a.html}, doi = {10.1057/ces.2016.7}, year = {2016}, date = {2016-05-14}, journal = {Comparative Economic Studies}, volume = {58}, number = {June 2016}, pages = {279-314}, abstract = {The paper provides theoretical and empirical justifications for the instrumentality of foreign aid in stimulating private investment and fixed capital formation through fiscal policy mechanisms. We propose an endogenous growth theory based on an extension of Barro (1990) by postulating that the positive effect of aid mitigates the burden of the taxation system on the private sector of recipient countries. The empirical validity is based on data from 53 African countries for the period 1996–2010. While the findings on the tax effort channel are overwhelmingly consistent with theory across specifications and fundamental characteristics, those of the ‘government expenditure’ channel are a little heterogeneous but broadly in line with the theoretical postulations. Justification for the slight heterogeneity and policy implications are discussed.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } The paper provides theoretical and empirical justifications for the instrumentality of foreign aid in stimulating private investment and fixed capital formation through fiscal policy mechanisms. We propose an endogenous growth theory based on an extension of Barro (1990) by postulating that the positive effect of aid mitigates the burden of the taxation system on the private sector of recipient countries. The empirical validity is based on data from 53 African countries for the period 1996–2010. While the findings on the tax effort channel are overwhelmingly consistent with theory across specifications and fundamental characteristics, those of the ‘government expenditure’ channel are a little heterogeneous but broadly in line with the theoretical postulations. Justification for the slight heterogeneity and policy implications are discussed. |
3. | Asongu, Jacinta Nwachukwu Simplice C A Social Science Quarterly, 2016. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @article{Asongu_574, author = {Jacinta Nwachukwu C Simplice A. Asongu}, url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ssqu.12275/abstract?userIsAuthenticated=false&deniedAccessCustomisedMessage=}, doi = {10.1111/ssqu.12275}, year = {2016}, date = {2016-04-12}, journal = {Social Science Quarterly}, abstract = {Objective Motivated by the April 2015 World Bank Publication on MDGs, which reveals that poverty has been declining in all regions of the world with the exception of African countries, this study investigates the effects of a plethora of foreign aid dynamics on inequality-adjusted human development. Methods Contemporary and noncontemporary OLS, fixed effects, and a system GMM technique with forward orthogonal deviations are employed. The empirical evidence is based on an updated sample of 53 African countries for the period 2005–2012. Results The following findings are established. First, the impacts of aid dynamics with high degrees of substitution are positive. These include aid for: social infrastructure, economic infrastructure, the productive sector, and multisectors. Second, the effect of humanitarian assistance is consistently negative across specifications and models. Third, the effects of program assistance and action on debt are ambiguous because they become positive with the GMM technique. Conclusions Justifications for these changes and clarifications with respect to existing literature are provided. Policy implications are discussed in light of the post-2015 development agenda. We also provide some recommendations for a rethinking of theories and models on which development assistance is based.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } Objective Motivated by the April 2015 World Bank Publication on MDGs, which reveals that poverty has been declining in all regions of the world with the exception of African countries, this study investigates the effects of a plethora of foreign aid dynamics on inequality-adjusted human development. Methods Contemporary and noncontemporary OLS, fixed effects, and a system GMM technique with forward orthogonal deviations are employed. The empirical evidence is based on an updated sample of 53 African countries for the period 2005–2012. Results The following findings are established. First, the impacts of aid dynamics with high degrees of substitution are positive. These include aid for: social infrastructure, economic infrastructure, the productive sector, and multisectors. Second, the effect of humanitarian assistance is consistently negative across specifications and models. Third, the effects of program assistance and action on debt are ambiguous because they become positive with the GMM technique. Conclusions Justifications for these changes and clarifications with respect to existing literature are provided. Policy implications are discussed in light of the post-2015 development agenda. We also provide some recommendations for a rethinking of theories and models on which development assistance is based. |
2015 |
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4. | Asongu, Jacinta Nwachukwu Simplice C A Foreign Aid and Inclusive Development: Updated Evidence from Africa, 2005-2012 2015. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2015bg, title = {Foreign Aid and Inclusive Development: Updated Evidence from Africa, 2005-2012}, author = {Jacinta Nwachukwu C Simplice A. Asongu}, editor = {African 2015 Governance and Development Institute WP/15/062}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Foreign-Aid-and-Inclusive-Development.pdf}, year = {2015}, date = {2015-12-01}, abstract = {Motivated by the April 2015 World Bank Publication on MDGs which reveals that poverty has been declining in all regions of the world with the exception of African countries, this study investigates the effects of a plethora of foreign aid dynamics on inequality adjusted human development. Contemporary and non-contemporary OLS, Fixed-effects and a system GMM technique with forward orthogonal deviations are employed. The empirical evidence is based on an updated sample of 53 African countries for the period 2005-2012.The following findings are established. First, the impacts of aid dynamics with high degrees of substitution are positive. These include aid for: social infrastructure, economic infrastructure, the productive sector and multi-sectors. Second, the effect of humanitarian assistance is consistently negative across specifications and models. Third, the effects of programme assistance and action on debt are ambiguous because they become positive with the GMM technique. Justifications for these changes and clarifications with respect to existing literature are provided. Policy implications are discussed in the light of the post-2015 development agenda. We also provide some recommendations for a rethinking of theories and models on which development assistance is based.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } Motivated by the April 2015 World Bank Publication on MDGs which reveals that poverty has been declining in all regions of the world with the exception of African countries, this study investigates the effects of a plethora of foreign aid dynamics on inequality adjusted human development. Contemporary and non-contemporary OLS, Fixed-effects and a system GMM technique with forward orthogonal deviations are employed. The empirical evidence is based on an updated sample of 53 African countries for the period 2005-2012.The following findings are established. First, the impacts of aid dynamics with high degrees of substitution are positive. These include aid for: social infrastructure, economic infrastructure, the productive sector and multi-sectors. Second, the effect of humanitarian assistance is consistently negative across specifications and models. Third, the effects of programme assistance and action on debt are ambiguous because they become positive with the GMM technique. Justifications for these changes and clarifications with respect to existing literature are provided. Policy implications are discussed in the light of the post-2015 development agenda. We also provide some recommendations for a rethinking of theories and models on which development assistance is based. |
5. | Asongu, Mohamed Jellal Simplice A Foreign Aid Fiscal Policy: Theory and Evidence 2015. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2015bh, title = {Foreign Aid Fiscal Policy: Theory and Evidence}, author = {Mohamed Jellal Simplice A. Asongu}, editor = {African 2015 Governance and Development Institute WP/15/063}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Foreign-Aid-Fiscal-Policy-Theory-and-Evidence.pdf}, year = {2015}, date = {2015-12-01}, abstract = {The paper provides theoretical and empirical justifications for the instrumentality of foreign aid in stimulating private investment and fixed capital formation through fiscal policy mechanisms. We propose an endogenous growth theory based on an extension of Barro (1990) by postulating that the positive effect of aid mitigates the burden of the taxation system on the private sector of recipient countries. The empirical validity is based on data from 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. While the findings on the tax effort channel are overwhelmingly consistent with theory across specifications and fundamental characteristics, those of the ‘government expenditure’ channel are a little heterogeneous but broadly in line with the theoretical postulations. Justification for the slight heterogeneity and policy implications are discussed.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } The paper provides theoretical and empirical justifications for the instrumentality of foreign aid in stimulating private investment and fixed capital formation through fiscal policy mechanisms. We propose an endogenous growth theory based on an extension of Barro (1990) by postulating that the positive effect of aid mitigates the burden of the taxation system on the private sector of recipient countries. The empirical validity is based on data from 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. While the findings on the tax effort channel are overwhelmingly consistent with theory across specifications and fundamental characteristics, those of the ‘government expenditure’ channel are a little heterogeneous but broadly in line with the theoretical postulations. Justification for the slight heterogeneity and policy implications are discussed. |
6. | Asongu, Simplice A European Economic Letters, 5 (1), pp. 1-5, 2015. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @article{Asongu_645, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, url = {http://eelet.org.uk/EEL4(1)5-10.pdf}, year = {2015}, date = {2015-06-01}, journal = {European Economic Letters}, volume = {5}, number = {1}, pages = {1-5}, abstract = {We assemble more pieces on the puzzle of the aid-corruption nexus. In essence, we extend the debate on the effect of foreign aid on corruption by providing evidence on dynamic effects of wealth, legal origin, religious-domination, regional proximity, openness to sea, natural resources and politico-economic stability. The empirical evidence from dynamic panel GMM estimation is based on 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. The findings show that the positive effect of foreign aid on corruption is most significant in: Middle-income, French civil-law, Christian-dominated, non-oil exporting and landlocked countries. Moreover, there is also some scanty evidence of foreign aid increasing corruptioncontrol in Lower Middle income and Not-landlocked countries. Justifications for the dynamics are discussed.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } We assemble more pieces on the puzzle of the aid-corruption nexus. In essence, we extend the debate on the effect of foreign aid on corruption by providing evidence on dynamic effects of wealth, legal origin, religious-domination, regional proximity, openness to sea, natural resources and politico-economic stability. The empirical evidence from dynamic panel GMM estimation is based on 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. The findings show that the positive effect of foreign aid on corruption is most significant in: Middle-income, French civil-law, Christian-dominated, non-oil exporting and landlocked countries. Moreover, there is also some scanty evidence of foreign aid increasing corruptioncontrol in Lower Middle income and Not-landlocked countries. Justifications for the dynamics are discussed. |
7. | Asongu, Simplice A On the dynamic effects of foreign aid on corruption 2015. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2015b_42, title = {On the dynamic effects of foreign aid on corruption}, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, editor = {African 2015 Governance and Development Institute WP/15/015}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Foreign-aid-volatility-and-lifelong-learning.pdf}, year = {2015}, date = {2015-01-01}, abstract = {We assemble more pieces on the puzzle of the aid-corruption nexus. In essence, we extend the debate on the effect of foreign aid on corruption by providing evidence on dynamic effects of wealth, legal origin, religious-domination, regional proximity, openness to sea, natural resources and politico-economic stability. The empirical evidence from dynamic panel GMM estimation is based on 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. The findings show that the positive effect of foreign aid on corruption is most significant in: Middle-income, French civil-law, Christian-dominated, non-oil exporting and landlocked countries. Moreover, there is also some scanty evidence of foreign aid increasing corruption-control in Lower Middle income and Not-landlocked countries. Justifications for the dynamics are discussed.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } We assemble more pieces on the puzzle of the aid-corruption nexus. In essence, we extend the debate on the effect of foreign aid on corruption by providing evidence on dynamic effects of wealth, legal origin, religious-domination, regional proximity, openness to sea, natural resources and politico-economic stability. The empirical evidence from dynamic panel GMM estimation is based on 53 African countries for the period 1996-2010. The findings show that the positive effect of foreign aid on corruption is most significant in: Middle-income, French civil-law, Christian-dominated, non-oil exporting and landlocked countries. Moreover, there is also some scanty evidence of foreign aid increasing corruption-control in Lower Middle income and Not-landlocked countries. Justifications for the dynamics are discussed. |
2014 |
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8. | EFOBI, Ibukun BEECROFT & Simplice ASONGU Uchenna A Foreign Aid and Corruption: Clarifying Murky Empirical Conclusions 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @workingpaper{EFOBI2014, title = {Foreign Aid and Corruption: Clarifying Murky Empirical Conclusions}, author = {Ibukun BEECROFT & Simplice ASONGU A Uchenna EFOBI}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/25/14}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Foreign-Aid-and-Corruption.-Clarifying-Murky-Empirical-Conclusions.pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-12-01}, abstract = {This note reconciles an on-going debate on the effect of foreign aid on corruption by introducing a previously missing heterogeneity dimension of aid. The relationship was estimated using dynamic system GMM and quantile regressions (QR). Results show that both narratives in the debate are correct, contingent on the type of development assistance. The QR results are robust to endogeneity when the independent variables of interest are instrumented with their first-lags.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } This note reconciles an on-going debate on the effect of foreign aid on corruption by introducing a previously missing heterogeneity dimension of aid. The relationship was estimated using dynamic system GMM and quantile regressions (QR). Results show that both narratives in the debate are correct, contingent on the type of development assistance. The QR results are robust to endogeneity when the independent variables of interest are instrumented with their first-lags. |
9. | Asongu, Jacinta Nwachukwu Simplice C A Foreign Aid and Governance in Africa 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2014bd, title = {Foreign Aid and Governance in Africa}, author = {Jacinta Nwachukwu C Simplice A. Asongu}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/14/034}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Foreign-aid-and-governance-in-Africa.pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-12-01}, abstract = {Purpose – This paper investigates the effect of foreign aid on governance in order to extend the debates on foreign aid and to verify common positions from Moyo’s ‘Dead Aid’, Collier’s ‘Bottom Billion’ and Eubank’s ‘Somaliland’. The empirical evidence is based on updated data from 52 African countries for the period 1996-2010. Design/methodology/approach – An endogeneity robust instrumental variable Two-Stage-Least Squares empirical strategy is employed. Findings – The findings reveal that development assistance deteriorates economic (regulation quality and government effectiveness) and institutional (corruption-control and rule of law) governance, but has an insignificant effect on political (political stability, voice and accountability) governance. While, these findings are broadly in accordance with Moyo (2009) and Collier (2007) on weak governance, they neither confirm the Eubank (2012) position on political governance nor the Asongu (2012) stance on the aid-corruption nexus in his debate with Okada & Samreth (2012). Practical implications – The use of foreign aid as an instrument to influence the election and replacement of political leaders in Africa may have insignificant results. It is time to solve the second tragedy of foreign aid and that economists and policy makers start rethinking the models and theories on which foreign aid is used to influence economic, institutional and political governance in recipient countries. Originality/value – The paper extends the debate on foreign aid and institutions in Africa in the light a plethora of recent studies in the aid literature.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } Purpose – This paper investigates the effect of foreign aid on governance in order to extend the debates on foreign aid and to verify common positions from Moyo’s ‘Dead Aid’, Collier’s ‘Bottom Billion’ and Eubank’s ‘Somaliland’. The empirical evidence is based on updated data from 52 African countries for the period 1996-2010. Design/methodology/approach – An endogeneity robust instrumental variable Two-Stage-Least Squares empirical strategy is employed. Findings – The findings reveal that development assistance deteriorates economic (regulation quality and government effectiveness) and institutional (corruption-control and rule of law) governance, but has an insignificant effect on political (political stability, voice and accountability) governance. While, these findings are broadly in accordance with Moyo (2009) and Collier (2007) on weak governance, they neither confirm the Eubank (2012) position on political governance nor the Asongu (2012) stance on the aid-corruption nexus in his debate with Okada & Samreth (2012). Practical implications – The use of foreign aid as an instrument to influence the election and replacement of political leaders in Africa may have insignificant results. It is time to solve the second tragedy of foreign aid and that economists and policy makers start rethinking the models and theories on which foreign aid is used to influence economic, institutional and political governance in recipient countries. Originality/value – The paper extends the debate on foreign aid and institutions in Africa in the light a plethora of recent studies in the aid literature. |
10. | Asongu, Simplice A A brief clarification to the questionable economics of foreign aid for inclusive human development 2014. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa @workingpaper{Asongu2014bi, title = {A brief clarification to the questionable economics of foreign aid for inclusive human development}, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, editor = {African 2014 Governance and Development Institute WP/28/14}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/A-brief-clarification-to-the-questionable-economics-of-foreign-aid.pdf}, year = {2014}, date = {2014-11-01}, abstract = {The study clarifies the questionable economics of foreign aid for inclusive human development. It investigates the effect of a plethora of foreign aid dynamics on the inequality adjusted human development index. Contemporary and non-contemporary OLS, Fixed-effects and a system GMM technique with forward orthogonal deviations are employed. The empirical evidence is based on a sample of 53 African countries for the period 2005-2012. The following findings are established. First, the impacts of aid dynamics with high degrees of substitution are positive. These include, aid for: social infrastructure, economic infrastructure, the productive sector and the multi-sector. Second, the effect of humanitarian assistance is consistently negative across specifications and models. Third, the effects of programme assistance and action on debts are ambiguous because they become positive with the GMM technique. Justifications for these changes and clarifications with respect to existing literature are provided. Policy implications are discussed in light of Piketty’s celebrated literature and the post-2015 development agenda. We also provide some recommendations for a rethinking of theories and models on which development assistance is based.}, keywords = {Foreign Aid; Political Economy; Development; Africa}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {workingpaper} } The study clarifies the questionable economics of foreign aid for inclusive human development. It investigates the effect of a plethora of foreign aid dynamics on the inequality adjusted human development index. Contemporary and non-contemporary OLS, Fixed-effects and a system GMM technique with forward orthogonal deviations are employed. The empirical evidence is based on a sample of 53 African countries for the period 2005-2012. The following findings are established. First, the impacts of aid dynamics with high degrees of substitution are positive. These include, aid for: social infrastructure, economic infrastructure, the productive sector and the multi-sector. Second, the effect of humanitarian assistance is consistently negative across specifications and models. Third, the effects of programme assistance and action on debts are ambiguous because they become positive with the GMM technique. Justifications for these changes and clarifications with respect to existing literature are provided. Policy implications are discussed in light of Piketty’s celebrated literature and the post-2015 development agenda. We also provide some recommendations for a rethinking of theories and models on which development assistance is based. |