AGDI a environ 300 publications actuellement.
2020 |
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| 1. | Adekunle, Haneefat Egberongbe Sefiu Onitilo Idris Abdullahi Hafeez Adekola Ibrahim O A N A A 2020. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Corruption, Development, Mathematical Models, SIR Models @unpublished{Asongu_44, author = {Haneefat Egberongbe Sefiu Onitilo Idris Abdullahi O A N Hafeez A. Adekola Ibrahim A. Adekunle}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Mathematical-Modelling-for-Infectious-Viral-Disease-the-Covid-19-Perspective.pdf}, year = {2020}, date = {2020-07-21}, abstract = {In this study, we examined various forms of mathematical models that are relevant for the containment, risk analysis and features of COVID-19. Greater emphasis was laid on the extension of the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) models for policy relevance in the time of COVID-19. These mathematical models play a significant role in the understanding of COVID-19 transmission mechanisms, structures and features. Considering that the disease has spread sporadically around the world, causing large scale socioeconomic disruption unwitnessed in contemporary ages since World War II, researchers, stakeholders, government and the society at large are actively engaged in finding ways to reduce the rate of infection until a cure or vaccination procedure is established. We advanced argument for the various forms of the mathematical models of epidemics and highlighted their relevance in the containment of COVID-19 at the present time. Mathematical models address the need for understanding the transmission dynamics and other significant factors of the disease that would aid policymakers to make accurate decisions and reduce the rate of transmission of the disease.}, keywords = {Corruption, Development, Mathematical Models, SIR Models}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {unpublished} } In this study, we examined various forms of mathematical models that are relevant for the containment, risk analysis and features of COVID-19. Greater emphasis was laid on the extension of the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) models for policy relevance in the time of COVID-19. These mathematical models play a significant role in the understanding of COVID-19 transmission mechanisms, structures and features. Considering that the disease has spread sporadically around the world, causing large scale socioeconomic disruption unwitnessed in contemporary ages since World War II, researchers, stakeholders, government and the society at large are actively engaged in finding ways to reduce the rate of infection until a cure or vaccination procedure is established. We advanced argument for the various forms of the mathematical models of epidemics and highlighted their relevance in the containment of COVID-19 at the present time. Mathematical models address the need for understanding the transmission dynamics and other significant factors of the disease that would aid policymakers to make accurate decisions and reduce the rate of transmission of the disease. |
2019 |
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| 2. | Asongu, Simplice A Territory, Politics, Governance, 2019. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Development, persistence, terrorism @article{Asongu_138, author = {Simplice A Asongu}, url = {https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/21622671.2019.1675532}, doi = {10.1080/21622671.2019.1675532}, year = {2019}, date = {2019-11-19}, journal = {Territory, Politics, Governance}, abstract = {This study investigates the persistence of global terrorism in a panel of 163 countries for the period 2010–15. The empirical evidence is based on generalized method of moments. The following findings are established. First, persistence in terrorism is a decreasing function of income levels because it consistently increases from high-income (through upper middle-income) to lower middle-income countries. Second, compared with Christian-oriented countries, terrorism is more persistent in Islam-oriented nations. Third, landlocked countries also reflect a higher level of persistence relative to their coastal counterparts. Fourth, Latin American countries show higher degrees of persistence when compared with Middle East and North African countries. Fifth, the main determinants of the underlying persistence are political instability and weapons import. The results are discussed to provide answers to four main questions that directly pertain to the reported findings. These questions centre on why comparative persistence in terrorism is based on income levels, religious orientation, landlockedness and regions.}, keywords = {Development, persistence, terrorism}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } This study investigates the persistence of global terrorism in a panel of 163 countries for the period 2010–15. The empirical evidence is based on generalized method of moments. The following findings are established. First, persistence in terrorism is a decreasing function of income levels because it consistently increases from high-income (through upper middle-income) to lower middle-income countries. Second, compared with Christian-oriented countries, terrorism is more persistent in Islam-oriented nations. Third, landlocked countries also reflect a higher level of persistence relative to their coastal counterparts. Fourth, Latin American countries show higher degrees of persistence when compared with Middle East and North African countries. Fifth, the main determinants of the underlying persistence are political instability and weapons import. The results are discussed to provide answers to four main questions that directly pertain to the reported findings. These questions centre on why comparative persistence in terrorism is based on income levels, religious orientation, landlockedness and regions. |
| 3. | U., Beecroft Asongu Efobi I S Foreign Trade Review, 2019. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Africa, Development, Foreign aid, Political economy @article{Asongu_207, author = {Beecroft Asongu I S Efobi U.}, url = {https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0015732519851633}, doi = {10.1177/0015732519851633}, year = {2019}, date = {2019-07-20}, journal = {Foreign Trade Review}, abstract = {This study considers foreign aid flow by sector in which the aid is directed and then estimates its impact on corruption in order to clarify the specific direction of aid flow that triggers (or does not trigger) corrupt practices. Data are from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development database, Freedom House dataset, and the World Bank Governance Indicators. The dynamic system GMM and quantile regressions (QR) were estimated for robust estimation and correction of endogeneity issues. We found that aid flows for the development of economic infrastructure, multi-sector and programme assistance were consistently reducing corruption. This result stands for both the entire sample and for the African countries (especially for countries at the 25th, 50th and 75th quintiles). Aid flows to social infrastructure and debt relief significantly induce corrupt practices in the sampled countries. These forms of aid only spur rent-seeking behaviour for countries at the lower quintiles of corruption. Two robust checks were estimated, including: (a) using an alternate explained variable—the corruption measure by Transparency International; and (b) correcting for endogeneity in the QR estimation by instrumenting the independent variables of interest with their first-lags. For both checks, the signs and significant values of the variables were consistent with the earlier estimation.}, keywords = {Africa, Development, Foreign aid, Political economy}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } This study considers foreign aid flow by sector in which the aid is directed and then estimates its impact on corruption in order to clarify the specific direction of aid flow that triggers (or does not trigger) corrupt practices. Data are from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development database, Freedom House dataset, and the World Bank Governance Indicators. The dynamic system GMM and quantile regressions (QR) were estimated for robust estimation and correction of endogeneity issues. We found that aid flows for the development of economic infrastructure, multi-sector and programme assistance were consistently reducing corruption. This result stands for both the entire sample and for the African countries (especially for countries at the 25th, 50th and 75th quintiles). Aid flows to social infrastructure and debt relief significantly induce corrupt practices in the sampled countries. These forms of aid only spur rent-seeking behaviour for countries at the lower quintiles of corruption. Two robust checks were estimated, including: (a) using an alternate explained variable—the corruption measure by Transparency International; and (b) correcting for endogeneity in the QR estimation by instrumenting the independent variables of interest with their first-lags. For both checks, the signs and significant values of the variables were consistent with the earlier estimation. |
| 4. | Asongu, Nicholas Odhiambo Simplice M A Education and Information Technologies, 2019. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Development, ICT, Primary education, SSA @article{Asongu_254, author = {Nicholas Odhiambo M Simplice A. Asongu}, url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10639-019-09880-9}, doi = {10.1007/s10639-019-09880-9}, year = {2019}, date = {2019-03-17}, journal = {Education and Information Technologies}, abstract = {This research assesses the relevance of information and communication technology (ICT) in primary education quality in a panel of 49 Sub-Saharan African countries for the period 2000–2012. The empirical evidence is based on Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) and Instrumental Quantile regressions (IQR). From the 2SLS: (i) mobile phone and internet penetration rates reduce poor quality education and enhancing internet penetration has a net negative effect of greater magnitude. From the IQR: (i) with the exception of the highest quantile for mobile phone penetration and top quantiles for internet penetration, ICT consistently has a negative effect on poor education quality with a non-monotonic pattern. (ii) Net negative effects are exclusively apparent in the median and top quantiles of internet-related regressions. It follows that enhancing internet penetration will benefit countries with above-median levels of poor education quality while enhancing internet penetration is not immediately relevant to reducing poor education quality in countries with below-median levels of poor education quality.}, keywords = {Development, ICT, Primary education, SSA}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } This research assesses the relevance of information and communication technology (ICT) in primary education quality in a panel of 49 Sub-Saharan African countries for the period 2000–2012. The empirical evidence is based on Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) and Instrumental Quantile regressions (IQR). From the 2SLS: (i) mobile phone and internet penetration rates reduce poor quality education and enhancing internet penetration has a net negative effect of greater magnitude. From the IQR: (i) with the exception of the highest quantile for mobile phone penetration and top quantiles for internet penetration, ICT consistently has a negative effect on poor education quality with a non-monotonic pattern. (ii) Net negative effects are exclusively apparent in the median and top quantiles of internet-related regressions. It follows that enhancing internet penetration will benefit countries with above-median levels of poor education quality while enhancing internet penetration is not immediately relevant to reducing poor education quality in countries with below-median levels of poor education quality. |
| 5. | Asongu, Nicholas Odhiambo Simplice M A Journal of African Business, 2019. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Africa, Business, Development @article{Asongu_260, author = {Nicholas Odhiambo M Simplice A. Asongu}, url = {https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/15228916.2019.1582294}, doi = {10.1080/15228916.2019.1582294}, year = {2019}, date = {2019-02-21}, journal = {Journal of African Business}, abstract = {This paper provides a systematic review of challenges to doing business in Africa. It complements the extant literature by answering two critical questions: what are the linkages between the ease of doing business and economic development; and what are the challenges to doing business in Africa? In providing answers to these questions, the nexus between the ease of doing business and economic development is discussed in six main strands, namely: wealth creation and sharing; opportunities of employment; balanced regional and economic development; Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and GDP per capita; standards of living and exports. Moreover, challenges to doing business are articulated along the following lines: (i) issues related to the cost of starting a business and doing business; (ii) shortage of energy and electricity; (iii) lack of access to finance; and (v) high taxes and low cross-border trade.}, keywords = {Africa, Business, Development}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } This paper provides a systematic review of challenges to doing business in Africa. It complements the extant literature by answering two critical questions: what are the linkages between the ease of doing business and economic development; and what are the challenges to doing business in Africa? In providing answers to these questions, the nexus between the ease of doing business and economic development is discussed in six main strands, namely: wealth creation and sharing; opportunities of employment; balanced regional and economic development; Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and GDP per capita; standards of living and exports. Moreover, challenges to doing business are articulated along the following lines: (i) issues related to the cost of starting a business and doing business; (ii) shortage of energy and electricity; (iii) lack of access to finance; and (v) high taxes and low cross-border trade. |
2018 |
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| 6. | A., & Leke Asongu I J S Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, 2018. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Developing countries, Development, Exports, Foreign aid, terrorism @article{Asongu_308, author = {& Leke I J Asongu S. A.}, url = {http://journals.sagepub.com/eprint/UyXYDcecB7fZRHuKNg6D/full}, doi = {10.1177/0976747918802649}, year = {2018}, date = {2018-10-30}, journal = {Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice}, abstract = {The study investigates whether development assistance can be used to crowd-out the negative effect of terrorism on international trade. The empirical evidence is based on a panel of 78 developing countries for the period 1984–2008 and quantile regressions. The following main findings are established. First, bilateral aid significantly reduces the negative effect of transnational terrorism on trade in the top quantiles of trade distribution. Second, multilateral aid also significantly mitigates the negative effect of terrorism dynamics on trade in the top quantiles of trade distributions. It follows that it is primarily in countries with above-median levels of international trade that development assistance can be used as an effective policy tool for dampening the adverse effects of terrorism on trade. Practical implications are discussed. Moreover, steps or strategies that can be adopted by managers of corporations involved in international trade are provided, inter alia: (a) the improvement in physical security in high risky places, (b) the reduction of uncertainty linked with politically risky investment environments, (c) the reduction of costs associated with investments in locations that are very likely to be impacted by terrorism, (d) the role of security consultants and (e) the enhancement of security in networks.}, keywords = {Developing countries, Development, Exports, Foreign aid, terrorism}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } The study investigates whether development assistance can be used to crowd-out the negative effect of terrorism on international trade. The empirical evidence is based on a panel of 78 developing countries for the period 1984–2008 and quantile regressions. The following main findings are established. First, bilateral aid significantly reduces the negative effect of transnational terrorism on trade in the top quantiles of trade distribution. Second, multilateral aid also significantly mitigates the negative effect of terrorism dynamics on trade in the top quantiles of trade distributions. It follows that it is primarily in countries with above-median levels of international trade that development assistance can be used as an effective policy tool for dampening the adverse effects of terrorism on trade. Practical implications are discussed. Moreover, steps or strategies that can be adopted by managers of corporations involved in international trade are provided, inter alia: (a) the improvement in physical security in high risky places, (b) the reduction of uncertainty linked with politically risky investment environments, (c) the reduction of costs associated with investments in locations that are very likely to be impacted by terrorism, (d) the role of security consultants and (e) the enhancement of security in networks. |
| 7. | A., Nwachukwu & Aziz Asongu J C A S Journal of Global Information Technology Management, 2018. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Africa, Development, Mobile phones, Panel data @article{Asongu_359, author = {Nwachukwu & Aziz J C A Asongu S. A.}, url = {https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1097198X.2018.1462069}, doi = {10.1080/1097198X.2018.1462069}, year = {2018}, date = {2018-04-18}, journal = {Journal of Global Information Technology Management}, abstract = {Despite the evolving literature on the development benefits of mobile phones, we still know very little about factors that influence their adoption. Using 25 policy variables, we investigate determinants of mobile phone penetration in 49 Sub-Saharan African countries with data for the period 2000–2012. The empirical evidence is based on contemporary and non-contemporary OLS, Fixed Effects, System GMM, and Quantile Regression techniques. The determinants are classified into six policy categories. They are: (i) macroeconomic, (ii) business/bank, (iii) market-related, (iv) knowledge economy, (v) external flows, and (vi) human development. Results are presented in terms of threshold and non-threshold effects. The former has three main implications. First, there are increasing positive benefits in regulation quality, human development, foreign investment, education, urban population density, and Internet penetration. Second, there is evidence of decreasing positive effects from patent applications. Third, increasing damaging influences are established for foreign aid and return on equity. Non-threshold tendencies are discussed. Policy implications are also covered with emphasis on policy syndromes to enhance more targeted implications for worst-performing nations.}, keywords = {Africa, Development, Mobile phones, Panel data}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } Despite the evolving literature on the development benefits of mobile phones, we still know very little about factors that influence their adoption. Using 25 policy variables, we investigate determinants of mobile phone penetration in 49 Sub-Saharan African countries with data for the period 2000–2012. The empirical evidence is based on contemporary and non-contemporary OLS, Fixed Effects, System GMM, and Quantile Regression techniques. The determinants are classified into six policy categories. They are: (i) macroeconomic, (ii) business/bank, (iii) market-related, (iv) knowledge economy, (v) external flows, and (vi) human development. Results are presented in terms of threshold and non-threshold effects. The former has three main implications. First, there are increasing positive benefits in regulation quality, human development, foreign investment, education, urban population density, and Internet penetration. Second, there is evidence of decreasing positive effects from patent applications. Third, increasing damaging influences are established for foreign aid and return on equity. Non-threshold tendencies are discussed. Policy implications are also covered with emphasis on policy syndromes to enhance more targeted implications for worst-performing nations. |
| 8. | Katera, Stephen Mwombela Lulu Olan’g Riccardo Pelizzo Lucas 2018. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Afrobarometer, Development, Inequality, lived poverty, Poverty, Tanzania @unpublished{Asongu_365, author = {Stephen Mwombela Lulu Olan’g Riccardo Pelizzo Lucas Katera}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Poverty_in_tanzania.pdf}, year = {2018}, date = {2018-03-18}, abstract = {The paper investigates the relationship between development, as measured by the GNI per capita and lived poverty in Tanzania which is measured on the basis of whether and how often respondents go, in the course of one year, without food, water, medical care, cooking fuel and cash income. By using the data collected by Afrobarometer in Tanzania, we are able to create one set of indicators that capture the extension of lived poverty, that is what percentage of the respondents, experiences deprivation, but we also develop a series of indicators that capture the severity of lived poverty, that is how frequently respondents experience this problem. Our statistical analyses reveal that while Tanzanian progress along the developmental path did not have a significant impact on the extension of lived poverty, it made a large and significant contribution to reduce its severity.}, keywords = {Afrobarometer, Development, Inequality, lived poverty, Poverty, Tanzania}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {unpublished} } The paper investigates the relationship between development, as measured by the GNI per capita and lived poverty in Tanzania which is measured on the basis of whether and how often respondents go, in the course of one year, without food, water, medical care, cooking fuel and cash income. By using the data collected by Afrobarometer in Tanzania, we are able to create one set of indicators that capture the extension of lived poverty, that is what percentage of the respondents, experiences deprivation, but we also develop a series of indicators that capture the severity of lived poverty, that is how frequently respondents experience this problem. Our statistical analyses reveal that while Tanzanian progress along the developmental path did not have a significant impact on the extension of lived poverty, it made a large and significant contribution to reduce its severity. |
| 9. | Kinyondo, Zim Nwokora Riccardo Pelizzo Abel 2018. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Africa, Development, Institutions, Poverty, world system @unpublished{Asongu_375, author = {Zim Nwokora Riccardo Pelizzo Abel Kinyondo}, url = {http://www.afridev.org/RePEc/agd/agd-wpaper/Development-in-Africa.pdf}, year = {2018}, date = {2018-02-01}, abstract = {The purpose of the chapter is to analyze Africa’s economic successes in the past half century, to understand not only what made it possible but also and more importantly what risk factors may eventually bring it to an end or compromise it. While it may not be possible for Africa to alter, for now, its position in the world system, it may nonetheless create the conditions for sustained economic growth and development by deepening democracy, enhancing the stability of political regimes and by reducing the incidence of tropical diseases.}, keywords = {Africa, Development, Institutions, Poverty, world system}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {unpublished} } The purpose of the chapter is to analyze Africa’s economic successes in the past half century, to understand not only what made it possible but also and more importantly what risk factors may eventually bring it to an end or compromise it. While it may not be possible for Africa to alter, for now, its position in the world system, it may nonetheless create the conditions for sustained economic growth and development by deepening democracy, enhancing the stability of political regimes and by reducing the incidence of tropical diseases. |
| 10. | A., Asongu Asongu N S International Journal of Social Economics, 45 (1), pp. 124-139, 2018. Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Development, Equality @article{Asongu_386, author = {Asongu N Asongu S. A.}, url = {http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/full/10.1108/IJSE-08-2016-0221}, doi = {10.1108/IJSE-08-2016-0221}, year = {2018}, date = {2018-01-01}, journal = {International Journal of Social Economics}, volume = {45}, number = {1}, pages = {124-139}, abstract = {Purpose The purpose of this paper is to respond to some challenges in the transition to sustainable development goals by examining the correlations between mobile and inclusive development (quality of growth, poverty and inequality) in 93 developing countries for the year 2011. Design/methodology/approach Mobile money service entails: “mobile used to pay bills” and “mobile used to receive/send money.” Interactive ordinary least squares are employed. Findings The following findings are established. First, increasing use of the mobile phones to pay bills is positively linked to “quality of growth” in lower-middle-income countries and negatively correlated with inequality in Latin American countries. Second, growing use of mobile phones to send/receive money is negatively associated with poverty in Asia and Pacific and Central and Eastern Europe. Originality/value Macroeconomic data on mobile money service are scarce. No study to the best of our knowledge has used this macroeconomic mobile money service data before.}, keywords = {Development, Equality}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } Purpose The purpose of this paper is to respond to some challenges in the transition to sustainable development goals by examining the correlations between mobile and inclusive development (quality of growth, poverty and inequality) in 93 developing countries for the year 2011. Design/methodology/approach Mobile money service entails: “mobile used to pay bills” and “mobile used to receive/send money.” Interactive ordinary least squares are employed. Findings The following findings are established. First, increasing use of the mobile phones to pay bills is positively linked to “quality of growth” in lower-middle-income countries and negatively correlated with inequality in Latin American countries. Second, growing use of mobile phones to send/receive money is negatively associated with poverty in Asia and Pacific and Central and Eastern Europe. Originality/value Macroeconomic data on mobile money service are scarce. No study to the best of our knowledge has used this macroeconomic mobile money service data before. |
